The Trend

Why You Must Confirm a Death Cross

By now, you’re well aware of how to find trends using simple moving averages, such as the 50- and 200-day moving averages.   But you should also know how to potentially spot when a trend could stop dead in its tracks, or birth a new trend.

All we have to do is wait for a crossover to do so.

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Using Fibonacci in Technical Analysis

No one ever said technical analysis was easy.

But over time, with practice, the easier it becomes.

For months, we’ve introduced you to several technical tools. The one we get the most questions about, though, are Fibonacci retracements.

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Channel Trading: Three Patterns You Need to Watch

To many, technical analysis is useless.

But as we’ve proven countless times, such analysis is essential, especially when you’re trying to gauge the strength and weakness of momentum with support and resistance. 

One of the best indicators to understand is the channel, defined as two parallel trend lines within a tight trading range. The upper line connects the price peaks in the channel while the lower line connects the price lows. 

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How to Spot Potential Breakout Opportunities

Great traders will always go where the action is. 

Volatility, momentum, new highs, and liquidity are some of the key traits they’ll look for. Other times, there’s a fundamental reason for the break, including news, or event that’ll draw even more traders in.

Just what is a breakout, though?

 

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Chart Patterns: Flags and Pennants

Traders are often told to ignore technical analysis. “Technical analysis is fundamentally flawed,” says Forbes. “Technical analysis is stupid,” blared The Motley Fool.

“The poor reputation of technical analysis is well deserved. It’s their own fault really,” commented Following the Trend.

But it’s just not true. In fact, technical analysis is just as important as fundamental analysis because it helps us understand the psychology of traders driving the stock.

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Three of the Most Consistent Candlestick Patterns

When Munehia Homma first created candlestick charts in they 1700s, he had no idea it’d change the way we look at stocks 300 years later.

To him, candlestick charting was meant for the rice trade.

He’d record the opening day’s price of rice, the low and the close. And over time, he’d begin to see price patterns in his recordings, mapping out repetitive signals in the price bars.

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It Pays to Watch for Engulfing Candlesticks

To the average trader, candlestick patterns are a bunch of crosses and oblong shapes with odd names, like the three black crows, or the abandoned baby bottom. 

Some traders choose to ignore them.  Others understand that it gives a clear illustration of the war between the bulls and the bears.  In fact, every time you look at a candle you can see who is ahead, who is falling behind, and whether or not the war has come to a standstill of indecision. 

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Gap Trading Basics

All of a sudden, there’s a gap in the chart of your favorite stock.

Surprise news, earnings, something unexpected caused a bout of extreme optimism or pessimism that resulted in the move.

Look at Palo Alto Networks (PANW), for example.  In early June 2017, shares closed at $118.59.  However, shortly after the close, news of a massive cyber attack began hitting headlines.  Orders come flooding in overnight.  The next day, the stock opens at $140.

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Technical Analysis: Why the A/D Line is Essential

When it comes to technical analysis, it’s very easy to become overwhelmed with the shear number of indicators. Everything from Bollinger Bands and MACD, to moving averages and accumulation/distribution lines can make even the most seasoned pros a bit cross-eyed and batty after awhile.

However, with practice, it’s becomes easier.

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The Best Time to Buy a Stock on a Pullback

Buy respected stocks that every one temporarily hates. 

That’s as close as we’ll ever get to the “Holy Grail” of trading advice. In fact, it’s the same advice you’re likely to receive from Warren Buffett, Baron Rothschild, and Sir John Templeton who bought excessive fear.

The only difference between them and myself – besides the gobs of money – is that fact that I don’t just rely on fundamental analysis. I also rely on technical pivot points. 

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Never Overlook Support and Resistance Levels

Understand how the market moves, and you increase your odds of success.

In theory, markets are pushed higher and lower by fear and greed -- two of the strongest psychological drivers of all assets. 

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How the Kelly Rule Could Save You Thousands

By now, you’ve heard the expression, “don’t put all your eggs in one basket.”

The same holds true with stocks. 

If I risk too much on one trade and it goes against me, I’ve just made a potential mess of my portfolio. Or let’s say you have a $100,000 portfolio, and you decide to risk 10% of that per trade.  If your next 10 trades are now losers, you just wiped out your full account. Bad move.

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Technical Analysis 101: Chaikin Money Flow

With so many technical tools available, it’s easy to get confused.  But with time, patience and plenty of practice, it gets easier to understand. 

For example, some traders believe that Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and the Money Flow Index (MFI) are the same thing.  However, the only major similarity between the two is that they are both commonly used momentum indicators.

And that’s pretty much where the similarities end.

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The Ultimate Power Play

If you trade Stocks, Options, Futures or even Forex, it's always nice catching large moves, but it's not always easy to find them. More often than not, day traders scalp small moves on the markets, when it was quite possible for them to catch a move for far greater gains.

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Technical Must-Haves: Bollinger Bands and W%R

Every time you trade a stock, it’s essential that you understand the psychology of the buyers and seller.  If not, you begin to run the risk of losing money.

That’s the last thing any of us want to do.

So, we need to understand if the bulls have gotten ridiculously, and unsustainably bullish.  And we need to understand if the bears have begun to lose their minds after a sell-off.

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Technical Patterns 101: Two Essential Candlestick Formations to Know

To a new trader, candlestick patterns are just a confusing bunch of odd crosses and oblong shapes on a chart. Even worse are the names, like the abandoned baby bottom, white soldiers, and doji stars.  But as odd as they may appear and sound, even the oddest ones can help give you the signal you need to be a successful trader.

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How to Spot When a Stock is in Trouble

Ignore a stock clearly in distress, and it’ll cost you.

If you own a stock with negative cash flows, high debt-equity ratios, profit warnings, or even heavy insider selling, the stock is clearly in trouble.

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